Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001015 0.001066 0.001118 0.001176 0.001237 0.001300 0.001371
2025-08-03 0.000939 0.001014 0.001093 0.001183 0.001282 0.001389 0.001514
2025-08-10 0.000877 0.000966 0.001064 0.001178 0.001309 0.001454 0.001629
2025-08-17 0.000814 0.000912 0.001022 0.001153 0.001306 0.001481 0.001698
2025-08-24 0.000768 0.000873 0.000992 0.001137 0.001311 0.001515 0.001773
2025-08-31 0.000737 0.000849 0.000978 0.001138 0.001333 0.001566 0.001869
2025-09-07 0.000704 0.000820 0.000955 0.001125 0.001337 0.001595 0.001938
2025-09-14 0.000676 0.000795 0.000936 0.001116 0.001344 0.001627 0.002009
2025-09-21 0.000650 0.000772 0.000917 0.001105 0.001347 0.001652 0.002073
2025-09-28 0.000625 0.000747 0.000896 0.001091 0.001345 0.001669 0.002124
2025-10-05 0.000595 0.000717 0.000866 0.001064 0.001324 0.001661 0.002142
2025-10-12 0.000579 0.000702 0.000855 0.001059 0.001332 0.001691 0.002211
2025-10-19 0.000564 0.000691 0.000849 0.001064 0.001354 0.001743 0.002318
2025-10-26 0.000554 0.000684 0.000848 0.001075 0.001386 0.001810 0.002449
2025-11-02 0.000539 0.000670 0.000838 0.001073 0.001400 0.001851 0.002546
2025-11-09 0.000516 0.000647 0.000814 0.001051 0.001384 0.001850 0.002580
2025-11-16 0.000499 0.000629 0.000797 0.001037 0.001379 0.001865 0.002637
2025-11-23 0.000488 0.000619 0.000790 0.001038 0.001394 0.001908 0.002740
2025-11-30 0.000473 0.000604 0.000776 0.001027 0.001392 0.001926 0.002803
2025-12-07 0.000460 0.000591 0.000764 0.001019 0.001394 0.001949 0.002875
2025-12-14 0.000448 0.000577 0.000752 0.001009 0.001393 0.001967 0.002940
2025-12-21 0.000434 0.000563 0.000737 0.000996 0.001386 0.001976 0.002990
2025-12-28 0.000418 0.000544 0.000715 0.000972 0.001361 0.001956 0.002989